On Polymarket, there is a new report on the number of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve in 2026 Odaily Seer's Prophet Channel monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a prediction event for the number of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve in 2026. From the perspective of interest rate paths, the current market is actually trading two completely different macro narratives: one viewpoint believes that the US economy will enter a growth slowdown cycle in 2026, and the Federal Reserve will maintain a wait-and-see approach or even restart interest rate cuts; Another perspective suggests that if inflation rebounds or long-term inflation expectations spiral out of control, the Federal Reserve may be forced to restart its interest rate hike cycle. Therefore, the high pricing around "raising interest rates 3 to 4 times" essentially reflects the market's reassessment of the stickiness of inflation and economic resilience in the coming year, rather than a consensus on a single path. Bank of America has taken the lead in shifting towards a more hawkish interest rate path forecast. BofA Global Research's latest forecast is that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 25 basis points in September, October, and December 2026, with a cumulative increase of 75 basis points for the year, pushing the target range for federal funds to 4.25% -4.50%. This judgment is significantly higher than its previous expectation of "keeping interest rates unchanged within the year", mainly based on the resilience of the US labor market, the unfavorable process of inflation decline, and the possibility that the Federal Reserve's policy response function under the leadership of new Chairman Kevin Warsh may be more hawkish. In contrast, Deutsche Bank also expects the Federal Reserve to initiate interest rate hikes in September, but the cumulative magnitude for the year is 50 basis points, indicating that major Wall Street institutions are reassessing the risk of rising US interest rates in 2026. Odaily Seer's Prophet channel continues to monitor and predict the market, seeing changes before pricing.