律动BlockBeats
律动BlockBeats|May 28, 2026 16:12
[Forecast for the Federal Reserve's Terminal Rate in 2026: Rate Hike Expectations Rise, 37.3% Probability of a Total 25 Basis Point Hike] BlockBeats News, May 29: According to CME FedWatch data, expectations for rate cuts within the year have been almost entirely erased, while rate hike expectations are on the rise, with even the possibility of a 75 basis point hike emerging. Currently, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining rates unchanged through the end of 2026 stands at 51.9%. The probability of a total 25 basis point rate cut for the year is only 0.5%, while the probability of a total 25 basis point rate hike is 37.3%, a total 50 basis point hike is 9.3%, and a total 75 basis point hike is 1%. Additionally, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the Federal Reserve's next meeting (June) is 1.1%.
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