The negotiations between the United States and Iran are still going through twists and turns, but from the price of WTI, it can be seen that the market now believes that the United States will definitely deal with the issue of the Strait of Hormuz. Not only WTI, but also Brent is falling sharply. Currently, the price difference between Brent and WTI is less than $3.5. Oil prices represent market confidence, and lowering oil prices is necessary to reduce global inflation. Moreover, according to data from prediction websites, the probability of an economic recession in the United States this year has significantly decreased in the market. Investors have also begun to expect that the end of the war between the United States and Iran will ease inflation in the United States and pull the country out of recession panic. After all, in reality, the United States has indeed become more assertive after the ceasefire. The current strategy is still to remain bearish on WTI at a high level, which is not much to say. At this stage, we will first look at $85 and then see if it will continue to fluctuate later. I think it is not easy to solve the Iran issue at once, but if we take out Hormuz alone to solve it first, it should be much simpler, and solving Hormuz is equivalent to solving America's biggest problem. Iran is not a big deal anymore. Looking back at the data of Bitcoin, recently the bearish sentiment towards BTC among friends has continued to rise, and the trend of the US stock market is still relatively strong. I estimate that Bitcoin can only breathe a sigh of relief after the issue of Hormuz or Iran is resolved, but the data does indicate that BTC investors are not panicking. Currently, the main participants in the turnover are short-term investors. Of course, short-term investors are the main force causing price fluctuations due to liquidity reasons, but as long as the majority of users do not participate in turnover and there are no new negative factors in the United States, the price of Bitcoin can still be relatively stable. Bitget is here, VIP! Crypto、 US shares CFD， Global Advantage One Stop Layout