After closing my WTI short position on Saturday (around 89.9), I am still communicating with Ni Da to see if it is too early for macro analysis Because based on the situation between the United States and Iran at the time, it was agreed that if negotiations were held in early June and the Strait of Hormuz was open, it could quickly reach 85 or even lower. However, the result was that I overthinked it. There were differences over the weekend before the peace talks started, so I waited and waited. The result just now was a news article stating that even if Iran and the United States reach an agreement through negotiations, it does not mean that the conflict is over, nor does it mean that the relationship between Iran and the United States will no longer face challenges - the actions of the United States themselves indicate that 'everything is still far from over'. Aziz also emphasized that Iran after the February 28 war is "completely different" from Iran before. Pulling oil prices from 92 to above 94, good guy, has my new high short opportunity arrived?? I just don't know if it will be higher than 95 or even higher. The previous blank price of 99 was used to build the warehouse, but later it was pulled up to 110, and I felt it was too early at that time. I haven't opened a warehouse yet, let's see if you can give me a better price. Doing oil prices on Binance is a rate. Compared to early May, the rates have been adjusted to a much lower level. When news spreads and oil prices fluctuate sharply, the rates may be higher than 0.1, which is usually okay. If it's really not possible, you can play with a lower multiplier in the middle line, which may be better. If you can't achieve high oil prices, you can try making a big cake. To put it bluntly, the high oil price is the low price of the big cake. That is to say, geography affects oil prices. If oil prices rise, it is not conducive to the risk market. If the big cake falls, when geography eases and oil prices fall, it is good for the big cake. But recently, I've been trying to buy on dips and the big cake has already been flat. Although the above logic is generally correct, be cautious of a pullback in the US stock market. Although the US stock market is currently at a sustained high, the inflation data for June is definitely very ugly, and the current US stock market is already very high. The economy is still under high inflation pressure. Don't dwell on why Big Pancake and the US stock market keep up with the decline and not the rise. The US stock market has excellent liquidity, and Big Pancake is not raised by its own mother. The current market has shifted from the previous 65-74 range to the 74-82 range (position is not absolute, don't look at prices, look at event trends and emotions) and fluctuated. If we look at the market approaching around 74, and if oil prices continue to rise and the market continues to fall, it is necessary to be rational and cautious to buy long on dips. Because the trend is inappropriate. The cost-effectiveness is not that high.