Coin Bureau|May 18, 2026 21:45
This is absolutely insane.
9 connected Polymarket accounts just netted +$2.4 million betting on the Iran war.
The win rate? 98% across 80+ bets.
These accounts correctly called the exact dates of:
- The first US strikes
- The removal of Iran's supreme leader
- The ceasefire announcement
Nicolas Vaiman, whose team discovered the pattern, put it simply: "Luck alone cannot explain those numbers."
Last month, a US Army soldier was indicted for allegedly using classified intel to net more than $400,000 in profit on Polymarket.
Meanwhile, over $1 BILLION has been staked on military outcomes on prediction markets in 2026 alone.
Prediction markets haven't just gamified geopolitics. They've officially created an entirely new category of insider trading.(Coin Bureau)
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