Leo's prediction was for 2024, and now we're almost two years in. What everyone cares about most is when AGI will arrive, because it could lead to widespread unemployment among white-collar workers. @leopoldasch says AGI won't have a sudden 'pop' moment—it'll be gradual. Right now, AI is practically smashing through the ceiling on all standardized human tests, but very few people dare to say, 'This is AGI.' Ultraman thinks it's already here, Musk thinks it'll happen this year, and Anthropic's CEO Dario believes it'll arrive in 2026-2027. Anyway, it's just a matter of a year or two~