[Mysterious Wallet Bets $40,000 on 'U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Will Break,' Currently Down 85%] Deep Tide TechFlow reports, on April 14, according to on-chain analytics platform Lookonchain (@lookonchain), a newly created wallet (bullseye123) spent $40,000 on prediction market Polymarket to bet that Trump would announce the end of the U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement by April 15 or 18. Currently, this position has incurred a floating loss of approximately $34,000, with a loss rate of 85%.