[The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in April is 98.4%] According to CME 'FedWatch': The probability of the Federal Reserve raising rates by 25 basis points in April is 1.6%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 98.4%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by a total of 25 basis points by June is 3.9%, keeping rates unchanged is 94.6%, and raising rates by a total of 25 basis points is 1.5%.