Looking at the 'MVRV Extreme Deviation Model,' BTC is currently repeatedly attempting to break through the green line (-0.5 std) level. Historically, during major downtrends, whenever resistance is encountered at the upper limit of a key range—or repeatedly encountered—the probability of continuing downward increases (see the red arrows marked in the chart). Of course, there are occasional instances of 'false breakouts.' Smaller trends must follow larger trends, so short-term longs here shouldn't overstay. The real opportunity to go heavy lies in the major trend movements. Before that, if it can reach or get close to the lower blue line (currently around $51,000), then it’s perfect... Just go all in and crush it!