Actually, I don't think it's a bad thing This is a real human need, and it existed widely in the form of a black market before Polymarket, with the main one being hiring thugs to harm people On both sides of offense and defense, from the perspective of a hired killer, the biggest pain point in this industry is 1. Unless it is a national intelligence unit, it is difficult to ensure the privacy of hired users 2. Recruitment is difficult, and non professional hired users do not have enough knowledge and connections to contact and identify good executors 3. It is difficult to ensure the quality of delivery, often resulting in multiple subcontractors who have not yet achieved the desired results Predicting the market has greatly improved this issue: -Transforming direct employment into reward crowdsourcing, and predicting the release itself instead of hiring a perpetrator to harm an offer, cleverly bypassing the issue of identity hiding -Result oriented bounty settlement: Although the current outcome settlement of oracle machines is still unreliable, victory is settled after the fact, and asking the assassin to take a photo is more reliable From the perspective of the defense side: -A clear bounty is easier to be alert to than a covert pursuit order (of course, the vast majority of bounty recipients are national level) -Defenders can also intervene in the outcome ("Someone spent 1 million to take your dog's life" "I'll pay 2 million") -To promote the development of the personal defense industry, in the future, personal defense may not only involve hiring a few big men to be responsible for security, but also personal air defense, personal armor, personal radar - first enemy perception, first enemy strike. In our lifetime, we may see every 4A office building and clubhouse become the frontline of offensive and defensive battles The real problem is not whether anyone has published predictions related to human deaths, but how to make the settlement of results related to death more credible This will also activate a large number of sunset industries such as journalists and private detectives, creating a large number of jobs Sacrificing a small group to benefit a large area The highest good path is also