路遥 | Trader|Dec 11, 2025 08:39
The third round of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve has ended
Cut interest rates by 25 basis points from 4% to 3.75%
But just like last time, it was quiet ..
A rebound creates a small market trend, and then continues to decline and adjust ..
The market generally expects two interest rate cuts next year, in March and June
From now until the end of the first quarter of next year, what other fundamental events can attract strong enough bulls to continue buying?
I really didn't see it ..
How about waiting until Chairman Powell steps down in the second quarter of next year?
But can a executor of Trump's will come after the multi party game?
However, at least it's worth looking forward to and can be appropriately hyped up, right ..
So, I am actually pessimistic about the market for the next quarter ..
Pessimism does not necessarily mean a sharp drop, but rather entering a more boring and disorderly low volatility and unprofitable volatile market than the previous quarter
After the lively and noisy narrative hype is completed, it is time to return to "value"
At present, the price of Bitcoin has recovered more than half of what it started in early April six months ago
Next, let's look at the situation of the Federal Reserve, which has strong independence, changing its leadership
If Trump wins, it is really optimistic that it will stabilize above 70000 and enter into a large-scale upward rebound
But if the "independence" is still maintained, it does not rule out the possibility of a deeper downward pullback
But at that time, it was also the best time for long-term spot buying!
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