加密前线(糖哥)|Dec 05, 2025 06:53
Daily Market Interpretation - BTC
As mentioned earlier by Sugar Brother, BTC was suppressed before breaking through the suppression of 94600. It is possible to reserve for high selling, but multiple players cannot chase the rise or enter early. The main approach is to reserve regular hanging orders at various levels downwards, and some positions have already made profits. This idea is still the main framework today.
From the daily trend, it can be seen that the upward trend of the price has been significantly hindered after reaching the downward MA30. The large-scale suppression of the downward trend and the upward movement of the small-scale support have compressed the fluctuation range of the K-line within a very narrow range. Therefore, on the premise of keeping the overall framework unchanged (without any volume breakthrough or time adjustment), we still adopt the mode of playing the game of large-scale breakthrough in the process of small-scale retracement.
From the trend of 4H to 12H, it can be seen that the center of gravity of the price movement has significantly increased compared to the previous period. After completing the consolidation in this region, there is a possibility of further upward movement. However, the nature of this upward movement is only a part of the process of gradual breakthroughs and retracements, with clear regional upper and lower tracks, rather than a trend oriented upward trend.
There are three paths for this upward trend in our game:
1. The upward breakthrough after stepping back on the low point of this level
2. This level meets the requirement of internal support during the upward movement process after time consolidation, which helps to boost the price.
3. After reaching the next interval on the track suddenly, the low during the process of stepping back on the track is much higher.
From the trend of 1H and below levels, it can be seen that in the context of obvious bearish pressure in the large level, the ability to maintain a sideways trend after a small level rise is already a strong performance, and the state of this sideways trend is in its final stage. The time point for the change in trend is likely to be this weekend or early next week. During the support process of each cycle, it should be done normally.
Summary: After reaching the level of suppression, the level has not yet broken through, but the probability of the horizontal plate below the suppression breaking through in history is very high. We can use the rebound of the support of the small level to synchronously game its breakthrough against the large level. The reference points are as follows:
Radical support 91111~90250 (watch the market fast in and out), short-term support 89010~87330 (1:2 fast in and out), short-term suppression 93550~94600 (break through with large volume and retrace to enter), second suppression 97500~100000 (treat as high selling for the first time in the short term, and participate in low long positions after retraceing short-term support)
Note: The support that has not been reached in the early stage is valid. Please keep an eye on the market for reference. Long term pending orders from 78980 to 76260 remain unchanged. If you want to break through the middle line of the game after receiving short-term support, you can take half of the profit after the rally and set the other half as a break even. BTC
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