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金色财经
金色财经|12月 01, 2025 03:37
[Barclays: Fed Expected to Cut Rates by 25 Basis Points in December, Internal Divisions Exist] According to a report by Golden Finance, Barclays economists stated that there is a high likelihood the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points during the December 9-10 meeting, with market pricing indicating an over 80% probability of a rate cut. They anticipate that Powell will support this rate cut, but there may be strong internal divisions, with at least two hawkish dissenting votes from Schmid and Musalem. Barclays also noted that the statement and the chairman's press conference will appear slightly hawkish, suggesting a possible pause in January unless the labor market deteriorates beyond expectations. (Jin10)
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Timeline

12月 31, 01:46Federal Reserve's 2026 Interest Rate Path Divergence Intensifies
12月 30, 19:45Some Federal Reserve officials are cautious about cutting interest rates.
12月 24, 12:05Barclays Raises U.S. Q4 GDP Growth Forecast
12月 22, 11:34FOMC members are unwilling to support a fourth consecutive rate cut.
12月 21, 08:49Tom Lee's Outlook on Market Trends for 2026
12月 19, 22:43Federal Reserve Governor Milan: Interest rates should be lowered to address risks in the job market
12月 19, 14:25The default rate of U.S. companies has decreased, but the risk of re-default remains.
12月 18, 14:02U.S. CPI rises by 2.7%, lower than expected
12月 18, 13:35The probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in January 2026 has risen to 28.8%.
12月 18, 13:01Hassett stated that it is appropriate for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates now.

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