After all the ups and downs, BTC is back above $100K again. Looking at the structure, it’s another perfect arc. Every weekly-level breakdown has gone through a cycle of second dip—recovery—pullback—ATH. The average adjustment period for the previous three cycles was around 200~250 days, while this round has been running for 126 days so far, still in the mid-phase. If history repeats itself, we might see a structural rebound next, possibly coinciding with the end of the government shutdown + tariff benefits, with the ultimate target at 130K!