Whale Factor
Whale Factor|Nov 15, 2026 18:06
🐋 WHALE WATCH : Amazon Alphabet Meta and Microsoft spent $203B on capex last quarter. Their businesses generated $175B. The gap is $28B and its the first time these four have collectively burned more than they earned. A year ago the same four spent $98B. That number doubled in twelve months. Free cash flow last quarter: => Amazon: -$34.9B => Alphabet: -$9.1B => Meta: -$2.1B => Microsoft: +$18.6B Alphabet had never posted negative free cash flow in 22 years as a public company. It has now done it two quarters running. Most of the $203B is going into AI infrastructure. Amazon attributed its cash outflow directly to AI investments. At Alphabet 65% went to servers and networking 35% to data centers. Three of the four are now borrowing to fund the gap. Amazon raised $48.1B in debt last quarter. Alphabet sold $28.7B in bonds and $12.4B in new shares. The demand justifies it at least for now. Google Cloud revenue doubled to $30.7B. Amazons cloud unit grew 39% to $46B and CEO Andy Jassy expects growth above 40% in both 2027 and 2028. Alphabets cloud backlog sits at $561B. Customers are ordering AI computing power faster than the infrastructure exists to serve them. So the four richest tech companies on earth are spending ahead of their earnings to build it. Amazon plans $220B in capex this year. Alphabet up to $205B. Meta up to $145B. The bet: spend now earn it back from AI later. Nobody knows yet if it pays.
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