小龙先生|Oct 31, 2026 20:46
This is a major problem! Trump is very likely to lose the midterm elections decisively!
Market predictions have already delivered a near-brutal verdict:
The probability of Democrats winning the House of Representatives is over 90%,
The probability of winning the Senate is 72%,
The probability of sweeping both houses is approximately 65%.
(See the latest Polymarket data below)
For Trump, this is no longer a gamble on winning or losing, but on how badly he will lose.
Axios's warning is precisely based on the premise of a "crushing defeat":
If he loses that badly, his only remaining card is missiles in the Middle East.
Meanwhile, a US official stated:
If Republicans suffer a crushing defeat in the midterm elections, Trump is more likely to order a large-scale military operation against Iran on November 4th.
Before November 3rd, it is recommended to take profits on any existing long positions in BTC and US stocks,
to prevent your wallet and account from being hit by Trump's missiles.
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