律动BlockBeats
律动BlockBeats|Oct 31, 2026 12:48
[Analysis: Marvell's Potential Acquisition of Lumentum Could Achieve a Deep Closed Loop Between Chips and Optics, Vertical Integration Enhancing Overall Value] BlockBeats reported on October 31st, citing a Bloomberg report from October 28th, that Marvell is in advanced talks with optics manufacturer Lumentum, considering an all-stock acquisition. At the time of the report, Lumentum's market capitalization was approximately $83 billion, while Marvell's was approximately $221 billion. Market research firm Cignal AI analysts Andrew Schmitt and Scott Wilkinson stated on the Semi Doped podcast that the core logic of the potential deal is vertical integration, not Marvell's lack of laser supply. If the deal goes through, Marvell will have the opportunity to integrate digital signal processors (DSPs), lasers, and optical components, improving product performance through co-design, controlling the supply chain, and selling more complete solutions. Andrew pointed out that the gross margin in the optical components industry has risen from approximately 25% to nearly 50%, changing the economic logic of chip companies acquiring optical companies. Lumentum possesses scarce technologies in products such as 200G EML, optical circuit switches (OCS), and high-power lasers. He believes that vertical integration, even if it affects the gross margin ratio after the merger, could potentially generate more gross profit. However, Scott cautioned that Marvell's coherent DSPs are widely used by optical module manufacturers. If the acquisition leads to further entry into the optical engine and module market, it could directly compete with existing customers. Andrew believes the company needs to reassure existing DSP customers and Lumentum's optical customers that existing supply relationships will not be affected. Both analysts also emphasized that competition in optical communications depends not only on being the first to launch a product but also on large-scale delivery capabilities. Scott stated that being the first to market but only able to produce 10,000 units may not outperform a later entrant with a capacity of millions. Although Lumentum has expanded its indium phosphide production capacity multiple times, it still struggles to meet all customer demand. Regarding discussions about Nvidia potentially participating in the bidding, Andrew explicitly stated that he has no inside information on the deal and that his judgments are merely personal speculation.
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