Hupzy (Spot On Chain)|10月 13, 2026 23:14
📉 Global fiscal deficits are widening to multi-year extremes by 2027, with the US projected at -𝟲.𝟭% 𝗼𝗳 𝗚𝗗𝗣 — its widest since 2012 excluding pandemic years. Germany, Japan, and France all widen sharply; the UK is the sole improver.
𝗛𝘂𝗽𝘇𝘆 𝘁𝗮𝗸𝗲: Coordinated fiscal deterioration across all five major developed economies creates a 𝘀𝘁𝗿𝘂𝗰𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗮𝗹 𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲-𝗽𝗿𝗲𝘀𝘀𝘂𝗿𝗲 𝗵𝗲𝗮𝗱𝘄𝗶𝗻𝗱 for non-yielding risk assets like BTC. More sovereign issuance at higher borrowing costs pushes duration risk and term premiums higher, tightening financial conditions globally. Japan's deficit tripling adds another layer — if it forces BoJ to normalize faster, global liquidity tightens further.
For BTC, sustained sovereign supply pressure at elevated refinancing costs is a headwind. Watch JGB auctions and any shift in BoJ stance as leading indicators.
source: KobeissiLetter
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