彼得兔
彼得兔|Oct 13, 2026 08:04
I mentioned in the video of the week after Bitcoin: native rose to 87395 that a pullback began, with the first low-level low occurring in mid October. Later, we saw BTC stop falling at 80393 on October 9th, but what do we think now? Is the callback over? On a large scale, my viewpoint has been clear from beginning to end - currently, 87395 is running a weekly level correction rather than a new decline. As shown in Figure 1, the blue segment of decline is a correction against the black segment of rise 57800-87395. If the blue segment is the entirety of the correction, it is a strong correction and should see a strong upward trend in the future. Otherwise, the blue segment is part of the weekly correction, and the red box running from 80393 is a rebound against the blue segment's decline. The upward momentum of BTC since 80393 is average, and if there is no strong upward trend to break through 8590080393, the probability of a rebound will continue to increase. As shown in Figure 3, on October 11th, we made a multiple order, and the operational logic was that even if 80393 was running a rebound, it would still be a daily level rebound with room above. After being blocked from rising on the 12th, I took my first long order and fell to the support range last night before closing. This morning, I got back on the market again. The second car game is that the rebound is unlikely to end yet. 80393-84352 is the first wave of the rebound, while 84352-81033 is a correction against it. Therefore, the rise from 81033 should be at the same level as 80392-84352 and belong to the 4-hour level market. The profit and loss ratio is reasonable, the certainty is high, and there is no reason not to do it. I hinted in September 2025 that the bull market for BTC was coming to an end, and the two best buying points for this bear market were one in Q3 and the other in Q4. In late June, we accurately set the buying point for Q3 to July 1st, and then we saw the low point 57800 appear on that day. If 80393 is only a rebound rather than a new weekly level increase, BTC will continue to adjust after finding the rebound endpoint. The possible adjustment endpoint is at the end of October or early November, which could be the other of the two excellent buying points we provided in September 2025. Accurate to the time of a certain week K or even day K, we will follow up based on the market structure. Please stay tuned.
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