陈剑Jason|Oct 02, 2026 14:04
Many people are fixated on the pullback percentages from previous bull markets and assume this time the bottom will be at $30K. So when $BTC only dropped to 50% of the previous high, they stubbornly held back from buying at $60K. But think about it—if the 10/11 event hadn’t disrupted last year’s bull market, would $BTC’s reasonable peak have been just $120K? Based on this year’s performance of the stock market and gold, $BTC breaking $150K and touching $200K wouldn’t be a problem, right?
Now, let’s assume $BTC was supposed to hit $200K, and then the bear market brought it down to $60K—that percentage drop seems more reasonable, doesn’t it? So, since the bull market ended halfway, the bear market definitely won’t run its full course either. When $BTC dropped to $60K, combined with multiple signals from historical bottoms, I posted several tweets clearly telling everyone that it was absolutely time to start dollar-cost averaging. I even put my money where my mouth is.
Looking back at those tweets, a lot of people mocked me, saying only shady KOLs like us would try to trick retail investors into buying at this point. Their mocking voices were loud, but they couldn’t shake my resolve
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