Benson Sun|Sep 30, 2026 11:35
Thanks to @168X for the invite! Had a great chat this time—here’s a quick recap of the key points:
Right now might be the closest $BTC has ever been to gold.
There have only been 21 days in history where $BTC’s 60-day rolling correlation with gold exceeded 0.6, and 17 of those days happened in the past month and a half.
$BTC breaking out of the bear market coincided with U.S. Treasury bonds being continuously sold off and long-term yields rising rapidly.
Normally, rising real interest rates would put pressure on $BTC, but the market isn’t behaving that way.
Connecting these dots, here’s my personal take:
This $BTC cycle seems to be gradually shifting toward a Debasement Trade (a hedge against fiat currency devaluation).
If the marginal buying pressure shifts from risk-on capital to more long-term Store of Value allocations, then the trajectory, duration, and valuation logic of this bull market could be very different from previous cycles.
168 did a great job summarizing everything—check out the full article if you’re interested
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