Jiang Zhuo'er: It is expected that the market will first fall and then rise after the Federal Reserve's decision, and Bitcoin may rise to $84000 According to BlockBeats, on September 16th, Jiang Zhuo'er, founder of Lepit Mining Pool (B.TOP), announced in a post that the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision at 2:00 am Beijing time on September 17th. Based on the 30 day federal funds futures prices, the probability of a 25 basis point interest rate hike is estimated to be around 92%. He predicts that the Federal Reserve will raise its target interest rate range from 3.50% to 3.75% to 3.75% to 4.00%, and believes that this result is almost certain. After the interest rate decision is announced, the Federal Reserve will also release a dot matrix chart. Jiang Zhuo'er stated that the focus should be on the median of interest rate forecasts and the central trend interval after excluding the highest and lowest three points each. He expects the dot plot to show a total of two interest rate hikes in 2026, meaning there will be another one within the year after this hike. The implementation of these expectations may drive the market down in the short term. Jiang Zhuo'er believes that the speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh, which began at 2:30am, is the biggest variable and expects it to send a dovish signal. Therefore, the most likely market path for its judgment is "first falling and then rising": the interest rate decision and dot matrix chart are announced, followed by a decline, and then a rebound after Warsh's speech. He expects Bitcoin to rebound to $83000 to $84000 after falling below $75000, followed by a significant correction. [Original link]