时光预言机i|Sep 15, 2026 04:18
Got disgusted by the market in the middle of the night, so I shorted with the group. My short position entry price is at 78.5k, with a stop loss set at 79.5k.
At 4 AM, the wick hit 79.578k—just $78 above my stop loss. Nothing I can do about it.
September 17 is just around the corner, and right now, no one knows who's buying spot positions. Most likely, it's insider trading.
The market has already priced in the rate hike as if it's a done deal. If the hike happens on the 17th, the market won't be surprised. It might even treat it as a 'shoe dropping' moment, turning bad news into good news.
The best-case scenario would be a quick spike to 80k-82k, trapping the longs, followed by a sharp drop to 74k-72k. After the rate hike news is out, there could be a short-term rebound, but that rise will be temporary. In the end, it’s still going to fall.
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