At Thursday's interest rate meeting, will we raise interest rates or keep them unchanged? At present, the expectation of Jin10 is to maintain interest rates unchanged, while CME shows that the expectation of a September interest rate hike has exceeded about 86% I personally still believe that there should be no interest rate hike in September, but of course, I am also prepared for a rate hike in September. Actually, the more variable is still oil prices, mainly the attitude of Americans. Today's meeting between Iran and Afghanistan was postponed, which once brought oil prices close to $100, but now they are below $100 The most feared and worrying thing for the market is that not only will there be a rate hike in September, but the geopolitical situation has not eased yet. There is no expected navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, and oil prices are still above 95 or even 100, That will increase the expectation of interest rate hikes in October, leading to a continuous cycle of interest rate hikes, and the risk market cannot be immune to it. If oil prices cannot steadily fall below 93-95 or even lower in September, the inflation data for September seen in October is likely to be even higher. Of course, if this week Chuan Puneng expresses relaxation, geographic cooling, channel navigation expectations, and oil prices fall back, even if interest rates are raised in September, the market will not be very worried, because it will think that this is only a one-time interest rate increase. Anyway, we'll know the result in two days. You can wait for the meeting to actually take place and pay attention to the geopolitical situation to operate the transaction. It's better not to anticipate operations before the meeting. Analysis is also for trading purposes, and Maitong @ MSX_CN has recently launched a limited time promotion targeting new users Download the Maitong MSX app and trade US stocks in USDT. During the event, completing tasks can also earn contract experience fees item by item: First time users can receive 10U, while newcomers can receive up to 50U Invite friends to complete tasks and receive up to 100 USDT Newcomers can receive up to 150 USDT in total. Then the recommendation code for my homepage is x8VP18 The event has started and will end on September 20th at 23:59 (UTC+0) No registration required, detailed rules can be found in the official website link announcement, please refer to the official announcement for accuracy Finally, the above is not investment advice, DYOR。