Mid-September might bring a series of major events, and BTC’s volatility could be anything but small. September 4 | U.S. August Non-Farm Payrolls September 11 | U.S. August CPI September 15 | Congress votes on the ‘Clarity Act’ September 17 | Federal Reserve interest rate decision Also, geopolitical tensions | Oil prices soaring Among these, Non-Farm Payrolls and CPI are the key ones to watch. After all, the market’s expectation for a Fed rate hike in September has already risen to 60%. If upcoming employment and inflation data remain strong, market expectations for Fed policy could shift even more hawkish, putting pressure on BTC. At the same time, if oil prices continue to climb, it could reignite inflation expectations, which wouldn’t be good news for the Fed. What’s even more interesting is the data from prediction markets. Currently, Polymarket shows: ➡️ About a 70% chance of BTC hitting $80,000 in September ➡️ Meanwhile, nearly an 80% chance of dropping below $75,000 With both probabilities so high, it shows the market’s expectations are actually pretty “conflicted.” On one hand, people are betting on BTC surging, while on the other, they’re bracing for a potential drop. And September itself has historically been a month of significant volatility. Will the “September curse” play out again? Keep an eye on these two key levels: Break above 80K: Market sentiment could open up further Drop below 75K: Watch out for a potential trend reversal The real action might be hidden somewhere between these events and data points. ⚠️ September might just be getting started.