PalBTC Market Weekly Report -7.13 Figure 1: Weekly chart 1) There's nothing to say, last week was an extremely boring and volatile week, and the market was purely torture, nothing more. 2) From the perspective of weekly liquidity, the focus is on 673 BSL plundering. Continue to look at the 59 test below, and if it falls below, look around 54 and 55. 48 is expected to plunder the target. 3) At present, the trading environment is getting worse and worse, and the macro news manipulation led by Trump is getting more and more serious. How many points will affect prices this week one ⃣ Oil price, the right price is the geopolitical relationship between the United States and Iraq. Last week, after Trump tore up the agreement, the fight started again. At present, the core focus of oil prices is on the 80 level, with no significant impact below 80, but attention should be paid to those above 80. The key to oil prices lies in whether the Strait of Hormuz is closed, so don't pay attention to what the news says or what has been hit. The key is whether Iran has sealed off the strait and whether the oil price is above 80. two ⃣ Devil's Tuesday On Tuesday, CPI (expected 3.9%), Warsh's first congressional testimony, and the Q2 financial reports of the five major banks all landed on the same day. ： - CPI>4.0% → Interest rate hike panic, reducing positions for defense - CPI<3.9%+Warsh biased towards pigeon → go long - CPI mild+Warsh biased towards hawks → surge and rebound Figure 2: Daily chart 1) It can be seen that the price is currently fluctuating around eq 632. Specifically, the price fluctuated around the weekly range (613-647) for a week without any plundering, which made trading impossible. This is also the reason why I didn't post much last week, so I really couldn't trade. 2) At present, it seems to be the reaction after the up and down tests. Let's first look at the reaction after Monday's opening. The US stock market has fallen during the day, and if it continues to fall at night, BTC will not be able to hold on and will continue to decline. If the US stock market rebounds, BTC, which hasn't fallen much, will rise even better. 3) There is nothing else, in a situation where the market is unclear, moving less and looking more is the optimal solution.