**[Galaxy Research Lowers Probability of CLARITY Act Passing by 2026 to 50%]** BlockBeats News, June 29 — According to the latest report from Galaxy Research, the probability of the U.S. CLARITY Act (Digital Asset Market Structure and Investor Protection Act) completing legislation by 2026 has been downgraded from 60% three weeks ago to 50%, due to the continued compression of the Senate's legislative schedule. The report noted that while the Act was reviewed by the Senate Banking Committee in May and included in the Senate's legislative agenda, a unified text between the Banking Committee and the Agriculture Committee has yet to be formed, and a full Senate vote date has not been set. Galaxy Research stated that if the Act aims to complete its review before Congress's August recess, the Senate Majority Leader must schedule the vote agenda by early July at the latest. Otherwise, the legislative process is highly likely to be delayed until September and influenced by political factors related to the midterm elections. Meanwhile, the 2027 Fiscal Year National Defense Authorization Act and other priority agendas continue to occupy the Senate's voting time. Additionally, key provisions of the Act remain contentious, including conflict-of-interest clauses and developer protection provisions in the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act (BRCA), which require further bipartisan support. If a unified text of the Act can be released, major disputes resolved, and a formal vote scheduled in July within the next few weeks, the probability of the Act passing could be raised back to over 60%. However, if no substantial progress is made by mid-July, the probability of passage may further decline. [Original Link]