When will the Nasdaq break through 100000 points? Based on the current 30000 points of the Nasdaq, it will triple to 100000 points. Annualized at 8% for 16 years. Annualized 10%, 12 years. Annualized at 15%, 9 years. Always remember, compound interest is a friend of time, not a friend of prediction. The supporting logic is very simple: The 401K pension in the United States flows steadily every year. The salary of office workers will be automatically deducted and deposited, and the company will also make up for it. Most of this money is invested in the Nasdaq. Every year, a huge amount of new capital pours in, and even if the index drops sharply, there will be cyclical recovery. Listed companies also repurchase and cancel. Apple and Microsoft made money, bought back their own stocks, and then cancelled them. The remaining stocks are more valuable. The US dollars held by global central banks and large institutions are flowing into the Nasdaq. Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia have businesses all over the world and stable earning power. These big funds are too fond of buying Nasdaq, and the global dollars are flowing here. But there is a premise: You have to be able to hold it. In the Internet foam in 2000, the NASDAQ plunged 80+%. In the 2008 financial crisis, it fell by 40+%. Interest rate hike in 2022, down 30+%. The data shows that every time there is a major drop, the proportion of retail investors who cannot withstand the cut is much higher than those who add positions at low levels. During the sharp decline in 2000, TIAA-CREF calculated that retail stock allocation decreased from 60% to 40%, with less than 5.2% able to increase their positions. In 2008, the S&P fell 57%, with retail investors losing about 50% of their gains over 2-3 months and increasing their holdings by less than 9%. The epidemic has dropped by 34% in one month, and investors have withdrawn nearly $500 billion from stock funds, adding less than 6.8% to their positions at a low level. In fact, cognitive investors have already established a bottom position and gradually increased their holdings. When encountering a sharp drop, increase your position. Every year, the Nasdaq retraces, so take advantage of the retracement to increase your position. Always keep a bottom position, allowing you to have money lying in the market all the time. Don't sell out all at once, don't fill up the warehouse, keep cash in hand. Vanguard research shows that in the past 30 years, missing out on the top 10 trading days of the US stock market resulted in a total return of 24000 instead of 100000. Cash is ammunition, which can be added to dilute costs during a sharp decline. If your conservative contestant's strategy logic is actually very simple: Gold and Nasdaq score 46 points. Gold is stable, while the Nasdaq fluctuates greatly. In 2008, the Nasdaq fell 40% and gold rose 5%. In 2022, the Nasdaq fell 33%, while gold remained largely stable. The correlation between gold and the Nasdaq is low, and they will not rise or fall together. When gold rises, it can be monetized and then used to replenish the position in the Nasdaq. This is more stable and more manageable. Those who are still asking whether to chase after it are probably the group of people who waited for a callback until now.