星球日报
星球日报|May 08, 2026 12:51
Analysis: If the labor force participation rate in the United States remains at its 2024 level, the unemployment rate may reach 5.3% Odaily Planet Daily News: The financial website Investinglive commented on the US non farm payroll report: the US employment participation rate continued to decline in April, dropping to 61.8%. If the data remains at the level of 2024, the unemployment rate in the United States will be 5.3% instead of 4.3%. Market analyst Ye Xie stated that the labor market has recently stabilized since the end of last year, entering a state of "low layoffs and low recruitment". Today's employment report has not changed this judgment. Jordan Rochester, head of EMEA fixed income, forex, and commodity strategy at Mizuho Bank, wrote that overall employment numbers were better than expected, but salary growth was weaker, and the trend of slowing employment growth over the past three months has not changed. The unemployment rate remains unchanged again, making it difficult for the market to believe that there has been a significant enough slowdown in the labor market to support the logic of interest rate cuts this year. Apart from excluding some analysts' previously emphasized more dovish scenarios, this data is not sufficient to drive the market towards significant fluctuations in any direction. (Golden Ten)
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