金色财经
金色财经|5月 08, 2026 06:07
[Deutsche Bank Executive: Oil Prices May Drop to $85 Per Barrel in U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Scenario] Golden Finance reported on May 8 that Jacky Tang, Chief Investment Officer for Emerging Markets at Deutsche Bank's Private Banking division, stated in an interview that under the basic scenario of a "fragile" ceasefire, oil prices could fall to $85-90 per barrel by the end of the second quarter. He noted that the probability of the basic scenario occurring exceeds 60%, with most energy supplies expected to recover by the end of the second quarter. Jacky Tang explained that depending on the duration of the Iran conflict, there are three possible scenarios for oil price trends. In the unlikely pessimistic scenario, where the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked until next year, he predicts oil prices could surge to $150 per barrel and remain elevated for an extended period, potentially triggering stagflation risks. (Dongxin News Agency)
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