BTC Market Analysis 2026.04.14 BTC met the two conditions mentioned yesterday: Did not fall below 70350 ✅ Four-hour breakout above 72900 with volume ✅ This morning, after breaking through 73800, it hit a high of 74900. What’s next? As long as the four-hour level doesn’t effectively break below the 71500 range, there’s a high probability of seeing another high above 76000 this week. However, the move up from 65000 is essentially a short squeeze. Once the rebound from 60K finds its endpoint, BTC will likely continue its downward trend—60K won’t hold as a bottom. (Red path) If the liquidity for shorts above has mostly dried up, it’s also possible that BTC won’t break higher. Under this scenario, the 75100-75600 range could become a potential turning point. The specifics depend on whether BTC shows signs of stopping once it reaches this range. (Blue path) The people shouting “bull market is back” now are essentially the same crowd who were yelling “bear market is back” in August 2024. Personal opinions are for reference only and do not constitute any investment advice.