**[Analysis: The Probability of U.S.-Iran Reaching Consensus on Core Demands is Not Low]** Odaily Planet Daily News: CITIC Securities stated that from the perspective of U.S. core demands, if Iran can abandon uranium enrichment, it would become the most critical war achievement for the U.S. and the biggest "accomplishment" Trump could use to appease domestic concerns. The current conflict has already had a significant negative impact on the midterm elections, necessitating an early resolution. Since the Iranian Islamic Revolution, the U.S. has lost control over Iran's nuclear capabilities, a problem that past U.S. presidents have failed to resolve, severely affecting America's Middle East strategy. Compared to the enormous political propaganda value of Iran's "nuclear abandonment achievement," the indirect link between oil prices and inflation may have a smaller impact on elections. Therefore, the Trump administration might compromise on issues such as control over the Strait of Hormuz. From Iran's core demands perspective, this war has demonstrated that the blockade of the strait and threats to Middle Eastern infrastructure are extremely important bargaining chips, even more destructive and flexible than nuclear weapon threats. Compared to the high-cost and difficult-to-control nuclear weapons, blocking the strait and attacking infrastructure only require low-cost drones to inflict significant damage on the U.S. and the global economy, thereby forming a tool for Iran to counterbalance the U.S. The fact that both sides have repeatedly stopped short of crossing the red line of large-scale infrastructure destruction also indicates that the probability of extreme escalation in the war is not high. The likelihood of extreme oil prices, severe recession, or stagflation is decreasing. (Jin10)