I have to be more serious about this: what you said about me agreeing with the views of a certain investment bank should be on February 19th in this tweet https://(((((x.com)))))/qinbafrank/status/2024339758672203977? S=46&t=k6rimWSEbo2D2TXolYcM-A agrees with the view of the head of commodities at Baosheng Bank that "we still doubt Trump will take the risk of pushing up domestic oil prices in an election year where affordability is an important agenda But on February 22nd, this tweet https://(((x.com))/qinbufark/status/2025534077789712511? S=46&t=k6rimWsEbo2D2tXolYcM-A, it has been clearly stated that because the Supreme Court ruled that the tariff was illegal, Trump was frustrated in his internal affairs, which might make him work on the Iran issue and win back face with diplomatic victory; Then on February 27th, this tweet https://(((x.com))/qinbufark/status/2027357081578377685? S=46&t=k6rimWsEbo2D2tXolYcM-A talked about that "despite the constraints of mid-term elections, Iran has been weakened by the war of the 12th day last year, and the dissatisfaction of Iran's internal riots in January this year has not dissipated. There is a strategic window for Trump. In the past, the United States would vigorously exaggerate the threat of its opponents before each action, and during those days, it was also vigorously exaggerating the threat of Iran. Especially during times of domestic setbacks, it is easy to turn to foreign affairs to make up for it. From this point on, the probability is increasing. The next day, the United States and Israel bombed Iran. The geopolitical situation evolves rapidly, and I will adjust my deduction and judgment according to the changes in the situation. You said there was a problem with my viewpoint on February 19th, maybe I had already made a new judgment on February 22nd, and the tweet on February 22nd was referring to the one on February 19th. On February 27th, it was also explicitly stated that the probability of taking action against Iran is increasing. As for saying that war will soon come to the negotiating table, I don't know if you're following what others are saying. March 1st and 2nd are here https://(((x.com))/qinbufark/status/2028343749873668349? S=46&t=k6rimWs Ebo2D2TXolYcM-A I have made it clear that the situation of Khamenei being killed may be severe because Iran's hardliners have come to power, and the direction of the situation largely depends on the resistance will of Iran's hardliners. After mid March, https://(((x.com))/qinbank/status/2034957766415327586? S=46&t=k6rimWSEbo2D2TXolYcM-A, I have been mentioning the trend of upgrading, adding fuel mode, and promoting talks through playing. If you want to track my tweets, you should read them continuously and coherently, rather than using old viewpoints to talk about things that have changed since then. It is also necessary to distinguish: some are framework judgments with a certain time limit, while others are instantaneous judgments that will change with the evolution of the situation. Thank you