Greeks.live|Mar 26, 2026 15:22
The major options expiration date for Q1 is approaching, and tomorrow will mark the largest options expiration of the first quarter of this year, with nearly 40% of options set to expire.
1. Key Expiration Data
BTC Max Pain: Currently pegged at $75,000, but given the current situation, this level appears out of reach. Put/Call Ratio: Remains around 0.6, which is relatively low, indicating lower trading volume in put options, though overall sentiment remains bearish.
2. Volatility (IV) Alert: An IV Crush is imminent. Front-end implied volatility (IV) remains firm as the expiration date approaches. However, once tomorrow’s settlement concludes, there is a high probability of a severe IV Crush (a sharp drop in volatility). Short-term option buyers are currently at a significant disadvantage (suffering severe theta decay), while sellers hold a clear advantage.
3. Whales and Block Trades: Today’s block trade data on Deribit shows that “smart money” is aggressively rolling positions. Many institutions have closed out their positions expiring tomorrow and have heavily positioned themselves in out-of-the-money (OTM) call options for June and September.
What are your thoughts? With this quarterly settlement, do you think the market still has a chance?
#Crypto #Options(Greeks.live)
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