qinbafrank|3月 22, 2026 01:37
Many friends misunderstand the teacher's two sentences yesterday, which actually refer to mentality rather than state. Why do they say that?
For Iran's hardliners, they still maintain a partial asymmetric advantage, with control over the Strait of Hormuz still in their hands and even able to charge tolls (according to reports, a cruise ship has already paid $2 million). These past few days, F35 missiles have also been concentrated, and last night, medium range missiles were able to reach Diego Garcia in the central Indian Ocean. The advantage lies in me. Trump broke out this week, but I still can resist. Why should I retreat? The withdrawal of the United States from the Middle East is necessary to ensure my long-term survival. This is the mentality of 'hitting one punch to avoid a hundred punches';
For Trump and the United States, it is impossible to withdraw from the Middle East or accept tolls (which is essentially recognition of Iran's dominance of the Persian Gulf). A week ago, he said that "the Suez Canal moment in the United States" tweeted https://(x.com)/qinbafrank/status/2032635274417811617? s=46&t=k6rimWsEbo2D2tXolYcM-A。 The dignified outcome for the United States is that it will not withdraw from the Middle East, there will be no compensation, the strait will be fully reopened, and at most, the overall sanctions against Iran will be lifted. Will Iran accept it? Not necessarily. Trump has been on the rampage since last Friday night, adding oil and striving to "promote talks by fighting", but in fact, it has achieved some success. After all, there is a huge disparity in strength, and no strong leader would refuse the opportunity to further weaken their opponents. Iran already has ballistic missiles with a range of 4000 kilometers, which is even more unacceptable. Trump himself should know that if he can't fight and hold down the Iranian hardliners on the battlefield, he can hardly get the decent results he wants at the negotiation table. This is the mentality of "what you can't get on the battlefield, and what you can't get on the negotiation table", which was said last week that Trump had to go wild.
In fact, if we look at the history of war a lot, we can understand that many historical moments really depend on the will and determination of leaders, to see who is more resolute.
Whoever has a stronger will, greater determination, and faster decision-making often wins the initiative.
Then there is Netta, a more violent terrorist than Trump. Iran's nuclear program and now Iran's missiles are estimated to make people uneasy.
This mentality ultimately points to either one side being subdued or the other side being completely powerless and cowardly.
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