The fire in the Middle East has finally spread to the global 'money bag'. The current situation is no longer a simple military friction where you punch me and I kick you, but has directly entered the ultimate showdown of "economic interdependence and mutual destruction". To put it simply, it is currently impossible to negotiate, and everyone has already started flipping tables with each other. one ️⃣ The explosion is not the factory, it's the lifeline of the world In these two days, news spread everywhere: the Ras Laffan refinery in Qatar and the Riyadh refinery in Saudi Arabia were attacked one after another. Let's talk about Qatar first. Ras Laffan is not an ordinary processing plant, it is the heart of liquefied natural gas worldwide. This includes not only Qatar's wealth, but also 30% of Chevron's shares in the United States. Iran's warning words are still ringing in our ears, and the missiles will arrive a few hours later. This intention is obvious. If you want my life, I will cut off your financial path. Look at Saudi Arabia again. The Riyadh Refinery is an important supply point for US fighter jets. Bombing this place not only makes Saudi Arabia feel sorry, but also directly cuts off the "oil pipeline" of US military activities in the Middle East. two ️⃣ Why is it said that the situation has completely 'spiraled out of control'? The previous script was: Israel killed a high-ranking Iranian official, and Iran symbolically retaliated. The current script is: Israel directly took over Iran's South Pars natural gas field. You should know that this gas field is the lifeblood of Iran, providing 75% of the country's natural gas. Israel's intention is very extreme, even if all the oil and gas in the Middle East were to explode, I would still bring Iran to accompany me in the funeral. This forces Iran to have no way out. Iran is currently engaged in an 'economic overreach war', and since my natural gas fields have been depleted, no one can hope for a better life. Attacking Qatar and Saudi Arabia is to hijack global energy supplies and force the US and the West to stop. three ️⃣ The 'King of Understanding' is being held back, and the Federal Reserve is also hanging in suspense The most embarrassing thing is the United States. Originally, the Americans wanted to shrink their front line, but were dragged down by Israel. The outside world is spreading rumors that Netanyahu may be holding onto some leverage that forces the United States to confront him head-on. Originally, everyone hoped that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates this year, allowing the global economy to catch its breath. As a result, once this fire ignites, energy prices soar, inflation is about to come back, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut plan is likely to fail. Money has become more expensive, business has become more difficult, and the whole world has to pay the bill. four ️⃣ Who is the person who "lies down and wins"? If this situation continues to escalate in the first half of the year, the consequences would be unimaginable! ·Global fertilizer shortage of 30%: Natural gas is the raw material for fertilizers. If fertilizers are cut off, third world countries will directly face widespread famine. ·Inflation and supply chain impact are severe: if oil prices jump again, shipping costs will skyrocket, and industrial related products will rise in price, inflation and supply chain pressure will be immense. And in this chaos, Russia, which was once heavily sanctioned, may have become the biggest winner. Natural gas has risen, crude oil has risen, and fertilizers have also risen, all of which are products of the Russian market. Russia not only does not have to worry about military spending now, but may even rely on energy profits to forcefully pull the economy back to a high position. Overall, the game of chess in the Middle East has shifted from 'whose fist is harder' to 'who is more afraid of death'. The vast land beneath the feet of Iran and Qatar, although geographically belonging to both countries, has become a fuse of interests. Israel bombed the Iranian side, and Iran went to dismantle Qatar and Saudi Arabia's platforms. The next focus is only two: First, will the United States really tear its face and go to the scene to put out the fire? Secondly, can the global economy withstand this wave of oil and gas supply disruptions? This is no longer a war, it is a big gamble on global national fortune. Let's see how the United States ends it in the end!