I went out for business in the morning and came back in the afternoon to browse tweets. So far, my timeline mainly consists of two types of content. One is a less direct yellow tweet, and the other is predicting the bottom of the Bitcoin bear market To be honest, what you post on Huang Twitter is really not explosive enough. When it comes to the bottom of the bear market, I do have a script in my heart, but I can't say it right now. I personally think that in the short term (1-2 months), we should look at the end of the geopolitical influence in the Middle East, and in the medium term (2-3 months), we should look at macro monetary policy At present, many friends may also wonder why BTC is still rising despite the low opening of the US stock market? In theory, if oil prices rise, inflation expectations rise, and the US stock market falls, BTC should not rise even if it does not follow suit. Is it because of the properties of the pancake? Easy to carry, safe haven attribute, digital gold, etc? I think the current US stock market has just opened, and emotions still need to be observed. I don't quite believe that BTC will emerge from a state of super independence in the face of many macro uncertainties. And it's hard to say whether the geopolitical impact will end in the short term or not. So it's better to wait and see. Be rational