[Aluminum Supply Disruption and Energy Shock Push Dollar Higher Amid Fed's 'Single Rate Cut' Expectation] According to a report by Jinse Finance, the dollar has resumed its rally triggered by the Middle East conflict, as inflation concerns heighten market fears that U.S. interest rates will remain elevated for a longer period. Due to disruptions in fuel supply and the closure of shipping routes, aluminum plants in the Middle East powered by natural gas have suspended production and deliveries. This has further exacerbated the inflationary pressure caused by the energy supply shock. The CME FedWatch Tool shows that the current probability of only one rate cut this year stands at 36.2%, compared to 22% a week ago.