比特虎 (Waiting)
比特虎 (Waiting)|Mar 03, 2026 03:30
Bitcoin Tiger Diary: Five consecutive monthly declines, bulls urgently need a 'life-saving candy' Brothers, this weekly chart reveals a key message: the pancake has indeed reached the critical point where it should rebound. Standing at the crossroads of history: The monthly chart has been negative for five consecutive years, and the most extreme record in BTC history is six consecutive declines. We are currently stuck at this critical point - either a technical fix or a direct creation of a new historical record. From the perspective of market control, it is best to close at a bullish line this month and touch around 74K. Why do bulls need this' sugar '? It's not because I'm bullish, on the contrary - the market needs to maintain an 'anchoring effect': If the market experiences seven or eight consecutive declines, it will lose its historical reference frame and enter a completely 'anchor free zone' A sudden drop without an anchor is often out of control, and even the main force doesn't know where the bottom is Give some sweetness to the bulls, making them feel like they have a 'bottom fishing opportunity', in order to maintain the controllability of the game The trader's clarity: But this' sugar 'is most likely poisonous. 74K is exactly the location that creates the illusion of "cow returning quickly". For those of us who are waiting for a bottom of $35K-50K with empty positions, we are not afraid that it will rise, but afraid that it will not rise. Only by rebounding to the key resistance level and confirming suppression, can the last batch of bottom fishing funds be trapped halfway up the mountain, and the subsequent decline will be smoother and more thorough. Both scripts need to be prepared: Script A: March closing with a rebound of 74K → completion of long lure → continued decline to target range in April and May Script B: Direct record breaking consecutive drops → Panic stomping → Possible early arrival at my hitting zone Regardless of the approach, my strategy remains unchanged: continue to observe short positions and patiently set up dips within the high probability range given by history. A rebound is not a reversal, it is the last illusion for bulls and a better confirmation signal for us. Bitcoin BTC monthly line analysis, technical rebound, trap trading strategy to attract long positions
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