三木Trader
三木Trader|2月 28, 2026 11:39
There might be some arbitrage opportunities here. Taking COIN as an example: Currently, Binance price is 173.6 U.S. stock closing price is 175.8 This premium comes from the suppression caused by today's geopolitical factors. However, before the U.S. stock market opens, we need to wait until Monday at 5 PM (GMT+8). From now until Monday afternoon, U.S. stock quotes won't resume. If COIN remains at a negative premium, there’s an opportunity for funding rate arbitrage. Taking the current -1.8%/8H as an example: There’s a time gap for 7 funding rate charges. 1.8% * 7 = 12.6% (this is an ideal scenario, as the rate might decrease during this period). But note that stock index futures open at 6 AM on Monday morning, which could potentially influence market expectations earlier. If you want to play it safe, you could skip the funding rates at 8 AM and 4 PM on Monday and close your positions directly at midnight. The risk here is that if geopolitical tensions escalate, it could further drive prices down, leading to losses in your positions. But using the funding rate to offset part of the losses, the risk should be relatively manageable. If the market digests these expectations over the weekend, price fluctuations might not be significant. Another factor is market capacity—observe the order book and open interest. If the position size isn’t too large, it shouldn’t be a big issue.
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