HIGER|Jan 15, 2026 07:00
Haige's Daily Observation 20260115: 13 bullish vs. 8 bearish, likely to test a high of 102,000 soon
Key Takeaways:
The market is showing a "bullish dominance but with internal divergence" pattern. 13 indicators are bullish (focused on macro liquidity, ETF inflows, and institutional enthusiasm), while 8 are bearish (resistance levels, moving average suppression, and cooling retail sentiment).
Key Signals:
✅ Bullish Momentum: Loose USD liquidity, continuous ETF inflows, institutional accumulation.
⚠️ Bearish Pressure: Strong resistance ahead, SMA120 suppression, cooling retail sentiment.
❓ Divergence Points: Altcoin season, market phase, top divergence, and 7 other uncertain indicators suggest the market is searching for new consensus.
My Strategy:
Positioning: Keep 50% spot holdings as a base, no rash exits.
Adding Positions: Wait for two scenarios—
1. Breakout with volume and hold above $98,000 (confirming the breakout).
2. Pullback to the $95,000–$93,000 support zone (gradual accumulation).
Risk Management: If it breaks below $93,000 with accompanying outflows, reduce to 30% holdings.
In a nutshell: The trend is intact, but we've entered a resistance zone. Don't chase highs; wait for a pullback or a confirmed breakout.
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