U.S. Stock Trends (November 11): CPI Surpasses Expectations, Three Major Indices Close Down, Nvidia Drops Approximately 5.5% Again

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11 hours ago
In October, CPI rose 0.4% month-on-month, exceeding expectations. The three major indices closed lower, with Nvidia falling about 5.5% again, while CoreWeave raised its guidance after hours.

Written by: Chao Xiang Research

U.S. stocks closed lower on Tuesday. The October CPI rose 0.4% month-on-month, higher than expected, leading to an increase in interest rate pricing; Nvidia fell for the second consecutive day.

The Nasdaq fell 0.74%, leading the three major indices down. After hours, CoreWeave raised its full-year guidance, and its stock price rose temporarily.

Three major indices closed lower, Nasdaq dropped 0.74%

The following are the trading results for Tuesday, November 10, Eastern Time. It was a normal trading day.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 157.86 points, a decrease of 0.30%, to close at 52,231.89 points.

The S&P 500 fell 0.38%, closing at 7,520.93 points; the Nasdaq fell 0.74%, closing at 25,065.87 points.

Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq ended two consecutive days of gains. The Dow fell for the third time in four days.

IndexClosing PointChange
Dow Jones52,231.89-0.30%
S&P 5007,520.93-0.38%
Nasdaq25,065.87-0.74%

UnitedHealth was a major positive contributor to the Dow, while Caterpillar was a major drag, falling 2.39%. Microsoft fell 2.38%.

October CPI exceeds expectations, interest rate hike expectations rise

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics announced that the October CPI rose 0.4% month-on-month, above the Dow Jones survey expectation of 0.3%; the core CPI rose 0.3%, exceeding the expected 0.2%.

The overall monthly increase in September was 0.6%, with the core rising 0.3%. The energy index rose 0.7%, food rose 0.5%, and housing rose 0.3%, contributing more than thirty percent to the overall increase.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics did not release year-on-year readings. The reason is that there was a government shutdown in October 2025, making the data collection incomplete and lacking a comparable base.

CME FedWatch shows that the market has fully priced in a 25 basis point rate hike by the Federal Reserve at the December 8-9 meeting; the probability of a 50 basis point hike is about 13.6%.

Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated before the data release that if the core CPI reading is around 0.3%, he may support a 50 basis point rate increase in December. Dallas Fed President Logan stated after the data release that two more rate hikes of 25 basis points each are still needed.

The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose by more than 9 basis points, closing at 4.986%.

Nvidia falls again by about 5.5%, some chip stocks rise

Nvidia fell about 5.5%, marking the second consecutive trading day of decline. The market continues to digest the board's independent investigation into Jensen Huang.

CNBC reported that the two-day drop has reduced the company's market value to about $4.07 trillion, the lowest since late March.

In contrast to Nvidia's performance, AMD rose 7.25%, Broadcom rose 7.86%, and Lam Research rose 8.48%.

CoreWeave raises guidance, Take-Two surges during trading

CoreWeave announced third-quarter revenue of $3.66 billion, exceeding expectations of $3.55 billion; adjusted earnings per share were a loss of $0.95, lower than the expected $1.16.

The company raised its revenue guidance for 2026 to $13 billion to $13.3 billion, and raised its adjusted operating profit guidance to $1.275 billion to $1.375 billion. Revenue backlog is approximately $13.25 billion.

The stock price rose by about 8% after hours.

Take-Two rose by 8.31%. The company mentioned strong pre-orders for GTA VI. Skydance fell by about 7.6%.

Oil prices continue to fall, attention today

WTI crude oil fell 0.93%, settling at $86.04 per barrel; Brent crude oil fell 1.17%, settling at $91.49 per barrel, dipping as low as $89.16 during the day.

Trump stated that the conflict with Iran could "end quite quickly," causing oil prices to decline.

As of Tuesday night, S&P 500 futures rose 0.2%, Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.4%, and Dow futures rose by about 88 points.

Attention today

The following are all in Beijing time.

U.S. session: Veterans Day. The bond market is closed, but the New York Stock Exchange operates normally.

Thursday 21:30: Initial jobless claims. At 23:00, October existing home sales will also be released.

Thursday after the market: Cisco and Applied Materials will release earnings reports.

Friday 21:30: U.S. October PPI.

November 17: Nvidia will release third-quarter earnings report.

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