Bitcoin drops below 73,000, bulls liquidated 77%: Should we panic?

CN
10 hours ago

On November 10, Bitcoin dropped below $73,000 on several mainstream trading platforms, with an intraday decline of about 3%, which is widely regarded as a new low since September. According to AiCoin data, within the same 24 hours, the total amount of liquidated contracts across the network reached approximately $380 million, with around $292-295 million of long positions liquidated, accounting for about 77%, while short positions liquidated amounted to about $87 million, affecting approximately 86,334 accounts. This downturn primarily impacted high-leverage long positions rather than one-sided short selling. At the same time, on-chain monitoring of contract account address 0xbf732ea04197942783e34730ed6e0f6099575d58, which previously accumulated contract earnings of approximately $20.53 million, chose to increase holdings against the trend by adding 150 BTC long positions when the price fell below $73,000 and concentrated liquidations occurred, with a single transaction reference market value of about $11.12 million and opening amount of about $11.16 million, creating a stark contrast in the midst of panic. Currently, there is no clear individual macro or regulatory bearish signal as a direct trigger in the available public information; under the confrontation of the signals "longs passively exiting" and "profit funds actively adding positions," the core question to be answered next is: is this merely a liquidation of long positions within a high-level consolidation, or is the trend sliding from healthy correction into an escalation of risk?

Bitcoin Falls Below $73,000: Two Months of Gains Interrupted

On November 10, Bitcoin fell below the $73,000/USDT level on several mainstream trading platforms, temporarily dipping to approximately $72,950-73,000. Based on different platform quotes, the 24-hour decline was roughly between 3.1%-3.3%. Many media outlets labeled this price point as the "new low since September": in the previous two months, BTC consistently oscillated at relatively high levels, and the $73,000 mark was gradually seen as the pivot and boundary of this market cycle. The first effective breach of this level has created a more distinct sense of interruption in the upward momentum that had persisted for nearly two months.

From a technical and emotional perspective, once $73,000 shifts from being a "central pivot" to "losing support," the psychological impact on short-term traders is greater than the nominal decline of about 3%. Funds that were accustomed to buying the dips above $73,000 find it easier to interpret this pullback, labeled as "new low since September," as a phase of structural weakening rather than ordinary intraday volatility. In the absence of clear single bearish news triggers, this technical and psychological linkage triggered by the breach of a key price level is pushing the discussion from "a pullback within high-level fluctuations" to "does this imply a trend turning point."

$380 Million in Liquidations: A Day of Longs Exiting

According to AiCoin data and various statistics, within the same 24 hours after Bitcoin fell below $73,000, the total amount liquidated across the entire contract market reached approximately $379-382 million, involving around 86,334 accounts. In terms of the amount structure, long liquidations amounted to approximately $292-295 million, accounting for about 77%; short liquidations were about $87 million, accounting for approximately 23%. This indicates that the market was not "broken" by massive proactive short selling, but rather that the accumulated high-leverage long positions encountered price retracement and strong liquidation lines at the same time, leading to a systemic exit.

From a breakdown by asset, the pressure was not only concentrated on Bitcoin. The liquidation amount related to BTC was about $92.55 million, while the liquidation amount related to ETH was even higher, around $126 million, indicating that mainstream asset derivatives positions were also put under pressure in the current correction. On a single transaction level, the largest liquidation occurred in HYPERLIQUID-BTC-USD contracts, amounting to approximately $14.31 million, reflecting that some large long positions were directly "lifted out" when key price levels were breached. Overall, this appears more like a concentrated settlement against high-leverage longs than a new trend attack solely led by shorts.

ETH and Decentralized Derivatives Also Hit Hard

From asset breakdown, this round of concentrated liquidation was not limited to Bitcoin. Reports indicate that in the past 24 hours, the liquidation amount related to ETH was about $126 million, surpassing the liquidation scale of about $92.55 million for BTC. This means that in a price retracement of only about 3%, it was not only leverage longs around BTC being "washed out" but also high-leverage bets on mainstream assets like Ethereum facing massive liquidation, revealing substantial multi-asset and multi-product leverage risks simultaneously exposed within the same timeframe.

It is noteworthy that the largest single liquidation did not come from traditional centralized trading platforms but rather occurred on the HYPERLIQUID-BTC-USD contracts, amounting to about $14.31 million. This detail directly points to decentralized derivatives platforms also bearing substantial leverage positions and experiencing concentrated liquidation in this downturn. For participants in DeFi and decentralized contract trading, such events will amplify sensitivity to on-chain liquidation mechanisms and liquidity flexibility, likely suppressing overall leverage preferences in the short term, leading some funds to reassess risks and adopt more cautious position management and margin usage strategies.

Experienced Traders Increase Long Positions of 150 BTC Against the Trend

Monitoring indicates that contract account address 0xbf732ea04197942783e34730ed6e0f6099575d58 has cumulative contract earnings of approximately $20.53 million and has been in a state of continuous profitability over the long term, with characteristics and scale more akin to professional traders rather than retail investors with small positions. This address chose to increase its BTC long positions against the trend during this pullback, currently holding 150 BTC long contracts, estimated based on the opening time at a reference market value of about $11.12 million, with an actual opening amount of about $11.16 million. This position itself constitutes a high-leverage bet on the subsequent market direction.

In sharp contrast, in an environment where Bitcoin fell below $73,000 and approximately $379-382 million was liquidated across the network in the past 24 hours, with long liquidations accounting for about 77%, most leveraged longs passively exited, while this "experienced trader" chose to increase long positions within the same time window against the trend. This behavior more reflects an individual's judgment of "this drop is mainly a deleveraging rather than a trend reversal," but currently, it can only be seen as a risk appetite signal from a single address and is insufficient to extrapolate as evidence of a consensus among longs across the entire market.

Panic Selling on One Side, Adding Positions on Dips on the Other; What to Watch Next

Overall, given the current information that Bitcoin fell below $73,000, with approximately $379-382 million liquidated in 24 hours, particularly with long liquidations accounting for about 77%, and the absence of clear macro or regulatory bearish triggers, this round seems more like a concentrated deleveraging rather than a confirmed long-term trend reversal. However, it is crucial to differentiate between two distinctly different behaviors: one is the rapid price drop leading to passive trigger of liquidation lines for long positions; the other is the proactive buildup of positions like that of address 0xbf73…5d58, which after historically accumulating profits of about $20.53 million, chose to increase holdings of 150 BTC long contracts when the price broke below $73,000. This indicates that significant divergences between longs and shorts remain evident on-chain. The key variables to watch going forward are threefold: first, whether Bitcoin can stabilize above the $70,000 mark or continues to hover below; second, whether there will be a repeat of this round where concentrated liquidations primarily of longs occur; third, whether this high-profit address will continue to increase long positions, choose to reduce exposure to lock in profits, or be forced to decrease positions. These developments will determine whether this round of declines is ultimately refuted as "technical deleveraging" or evolves into a deeper trend adjustment.

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