The interest rate meeting has finally concluded, and the result was as expected, with the only deviation being the adjustment of future meeting arrangements: in 2027 there will be a meeting dedicated solely to discussing long-term monetary policy strategy, without a rate vote; in 2028, two such meetings are planned. After watching the entire meeting, I began to miss Powell's first five years in office, as the earlier Powell was somewhat candid and had not yet learned to play Tai Chi. Wash's content was filled with Tai Chi, with all direct questions being countered by his guiding responses, making it quite uninteresting. Yesterday, during the Asian trading hours, Bitcoin's movement was also very subtle, and friends in my circle reminded each other to take a pause. It is obvious that after breaking 80,000, Bitcoin's trend appears to indicate an upward breakout, as if laying the groundwork for evening news, and going short at this point could be very unstable. Also, breaking 81,000 and reaching around 81,800 was not within the old Cui's projected range, so taking a pause is beneficial for everyone.

From listening to Wash's viewpoint, the added long-term monetary policy strategy meetings will not yield much information during the Q&A session for journalists, as it is fundamentally a strategic trend. One point emphasized serves as a reassurance for old Cui, which is a focus on data. For now, the goal remains to curb inflation; based on the current data, the interest rate hike cycle will continue. The unfolding timeline reveals some differences for users who have followed old Cui since before 2019. Previously, old Cui did not rely on American news, but now, almost every prediction hinges on American meetings, marking a significant change midway. In fact, this reflects the changes in the crypto sphere; earlier, the crypto space was able to break free from American control, significantly due to the differing attributes of the two. It is still an era largely controlled by grayscale, and fields that BlackRock, MicroStrategy, and even Musk have not ventured into naturally have a weaker influence from America.

As the process of compliance unfolds, capital in the crypto space is gradually leaning towards the US stock market, which will naturally be heavily influenced by its control. This is what CZ is referring to as freedom within rules. An important aspect of the financial market is the ability to grasp the laws of change; the pre-compliance market was filled with a plethora of myths, which is the core critical period for old Cui's asset surge. As the compliance process advances, it will indeed lead to a sharp decline in income for us. At the same time, it will be more stable; old Cui can discuss these issues directly with everyone. Old Cui's summary is that the current crypto market is easier to grasp in terms of trends, but short-term and contract aspects are not as easy to handle. Previously in the crypto space, becoming wealthy was basically about catching a trend, or holding a small cryptocurrency like DOGE, FIL, SHIB, Zoo, or Fruit Garden; hitting any small cryptocurrency could provide opportunities to leap across classes. Recently, the potential cryptocurrencies might be SOL and ZEC, while other cryptocurrencies do not hold any reference value.

In terms of future predictability, old Cui is extremely optimistic. Because the biggest positive news is the tokenization of everything, especially concerning US stocks, US bonds, and all industries related to America, which will all become tokenized, meaning they will be put on-chain. Once this fact takes shape, in terms of status, blockchain technology will surpass all markets. Financial markets will depend on blockchain; thus, providing corresponding technological token links will certainly be worth a fortune. Whether this path can succeed is a significant question, as signals from this year's news can indicate the clarity of legislative compromises and the long road ahead. The resistance remains substantial; even Trump has given old Cui a very exhausting feeling. We can only respond with high hopes regarding the trend in the crypto space within 2-3 years; when it comes to the 5-10 year mark, the objectives needed to be achieved are too many. However, as long as the process continues to push forward, the trend should not deviate too much.

This article is purely an expression of thoughts after staying up late last night awaiting news, coinciding with discussions on trends with a few like-minded friends. Many friends have also complained that the Federal Reserve's interest rate meetings are becoming increasingly devoid of value, and they feel old Cui's thinking is somewhat leaning towards Western perspectives. Not so, but the dominant system in the crypto market relies on America; to put it another way, the domestic stance on this subject does not acknowledge it, which is not about right or wrong but rather guiding issues. Coupled with personal shortsightedness, many things domestically cannot be objectively interpreted, lacking refined skills. Regarding the crypto space, old Cui can only say that the closer it gets to compliance, the more stable the subsequent market will be, and eventually, the ecology and value of the crypto sphere will almost become another securities market. For ordinary people, this presents an excellent opportunity; the question is how much initial capital one can gain before compliance. In the course of society, one cannot escape that as some issues become clearer, social classes will tend towards perfection, leaving fewer opportunities for everyone. Before that, I hope everyone can possess the ability to seize opportunities wisely.

Old Cui summarizes: Returning to our layout, yesterday's meeting content basically set the trend for November to December; there will not be significant rebounds within the month. For contract users, shorting this month is an opportunity; the interest rate hike cycle is only beneficial for contract layouts, with not much to discuss for spot users. Old Cui's spot SOL exit was also when it went below 110, where a part was already offloaded, which was also communicated to everyone. Future layouts, I fear that there won't be any thoughts of spot trades within the year; during the last two months, old Cui will focus entirely on short positions. This week's target of breaking below 80,000 has already been met, and old Cui does not like to excessively flaunt profits, just hoping all can show restraint when predictions go wrong. As for the current downward trend, the first take-profit position is still around 74,000; after breaking it, there will still be a downward trend, which needs to be viewed in light of December's interest rate meeting content. Starting today, shorting should not have too many errors until the week leading up to the December meeting. The next meeting is scheduled for December 8-9 according to the Federal Reserve's official announcement of the 2026 FOMC calendar; there are no regular meetings scheduled for November. For contract users, if you have questions, feel free to ask; old Cui will see and respond; the 80,000 mark can no longer hold!

Original creation from WeChat public account: On-Chain Science. For assistance, feel free to contact directly.

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