This week, the highly anticipated Federal Reserve interest rate hike decision has officially arrived, raising rates by 25 basis points as expected, marking the first rate hike in three years. The market had already fully digested the rate hike expectations before the decision was announced, with BTC pulling back to around 74900 before the announcement, effectively releasing the negative sentiment in advance. After the decision was announced in the early morning, the market failed to decline further. The biggest uncertainty has been resolved, and the market has not been able to effectively sell off, indicating that the support below is very strong, and the bullish strategy should continue.
Previously emphasized core logic: as long as the critical support at 75000 is not broken, the bullish structure will not be damaged. Although the market briefly dipped to 74900 yesterday, it was quickly pulled back by buying pressure, validating the effectiveness of the support once again. Friends who followed the layout should already be in profit—whether it is the long positions from the earlier 77000-76000 range, the additional positions taken at 75000, or the new long positions established near 75000 in the early morning, as well as ETH's low longs at 2490-2450, additional buy at 2350, and long positions entered near 2370 in the early morning, all are currently in profit. Continue to hold and look for targets of 80000 and 2600.
Comprehensive technical analysis:
On the daily level, the price found support at the lower band and stabilized, closing as a small bullish candle yesterday. The lower band of the Bollinger Bands has not diverged downwards, indicating that the downward space has been severely compressed. At this position, it is crucial not to excessively pursue short positions. In terms of indicators, KDJ has crossed upward, RSI is turning upward, and the bearish volume of MACD continues to decrease, while bullish sentiment is slowly being ignited, establishing a rebound and repair trend on the daily level.
On the 4-hour level, after probing the bottom at 74900, the price has shown a fluctuating upward trend, with KDJ and RSI both turning upward, and the bearish volume of MACD continuing to decrease, with rebound momentum gradually accumulating. Currently, the price rebound is temporarily capped by the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, which is a normal pullback for accumulation. Once the middle band is broken, a larger rebound space will open up. The overall daily strategy is very clear: a pullback is a buy.
On the hourly chart, the price is fluctuating around the middle band for recovery, with short-term indicators showing a bullish bias, and the rebound structure remains intact. Each pullback is an opportunity to enter long positions.
Precise operational strategy for the day
BTC
Key support below: 76000-75500, initiate long positions around this range
Extreme buy position for additional accumulation: 73000 (limit order waiting)
Resistance on the way up: 77000—78500—80000
ETHKey support below: 2400, 2370, initiate low longs around this range
Extreme buy position for additional accumulation: 2250 (limit order waiting)
Resistance on the way up: 2450—2550—2650
Trading must clearly observe the overall trend. After the negative sentiment from the rate hike has been fully released, the biggest uncertainty in the market has been eliminated, and the support at 75000 has been repeatedly validated as effective. The bullish structure remains intact. Do not be confused by the short-term fluctuations, nor blindly chase shorts at low positions. Adhering to the core logic of low longs, every pullback is an opportunity to enter long. Hold patiently for the rebound to realize profits, manage positions, and maintain stop-losses, steadily capturing profits from this round of rebound. For more real-time guidance, follow the public account: Zhongliang BN
Friendly reminder: The above is only a personal analysis of the market and does not constitute any investment advice. Market fluctuations in the cryptocurrency circle are intense; please strictly control your positions and maintain stop-losses for rational trading.
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