In 60 hours, three major events will unfold. Can BTC hold above 78,000 dollars?

CN
1 hour ago

In the next 60 hours, the U.S. PPI, CPI, and the European Central Bank's interest rate decision will be announced in succession. The U.S. dollar, U.S. treasury bonds, U.S. stocks, and crypto assets are entering an intensive pricing window, where any deviation between the data and market expectations may quickly amplify short-term fluctuations.

Currently, the Federal Reserve has entered a quiet period before the September interest rate meeting. Officials have temporarily withdrawn from the spotlight, and economic data is taking center stage, with inflation becoming the core variable influencing the direction of risk assets.

Three major events occurring within 60 hours, can BTC hold at $78,000? _aicoin_image_1

September 9, European Central Bank meeting begins

The first day of the European Central Bank's monetary policy meeting. The market will prepare for the interest rate decision and economic forecasts for the Eurozone, with changes in the euro, euro bond yields, and the dollar index potentially transmitting signals to the gold and crypto markets.

At 1:00 AM Beijing time the next day, ECB President Lagarde will also deliver a speech, and the market can focus on her statements regarding the Eurozone economy and inflation outlook.

Focus assets: EUR/USD, DXY, BTC, gold

September 10, 20:15, European Central Bank announces interest rate decision

The European Central Bank will announce its interest rate decision at 20:15 Beijing time, hold a press conference at 20:45, and release the latest macroeconomic forecasts at 21:45.

The interest rate path, inflation forecasts, and Lagarde's statements on the future policy space will collectively influence the euro and the European bond market. If the policy signals deviate significantly from expectations, the U.S. dollar index and gold may also experience quick fluctuations.

September 10, 20:30, U.S. announces August PPI

Fifteen minutes after the ECB's interest rate decision is announced, the U.S. August PPI data will be released.

Previously, the July PPI rose by 4.7% year-on-year, with production-side pricing pressure still high. This result will provide a prior signal for the CPI the next day and influence the market's judgment on the Fed's policy path for September.
The timing of the two events is highly overlapping, and European policy expectations and U.S. inflation data may enter pricing simultaneously, forming the first high volatility window of the week.

Focus assets: BTC, ETH, DXY, gold, EUR/USD

September 11 early morning, Adobe releases earnings report

Adobe will release its earnings report after the close of U.S. markets on September 10, and it is expected to disclose this at 1:00 AM Beijing time on September 11, followed by an investor conference call at 5:00 AM.

Markets can focus on AI business revenue, subscription growth, and demand for enterprise software to assess whether AI investments can continue to translate into actual performance.

Focus assets: ADBE, U.S. technology sector

September 11, 20:30, U.S. announces August CPI

The U.S. August CPI will be announced at 20:30 Beijing time, making this the most impactful event on the macro agenda.

The July U.S. CPI rose by 3.4% year-on-year. If inflation in August continues to stay high, market expectations for easing policies may cool, and U.S. treasury yields and the dollar could gain support, while BTC and highly volatile altcoins may face pressure first.

If core inflation is lower than expected, interest rate pressures are likely to ease, and risk capital will reassess the Fed's room for policy adjustments.

Focus assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, DXY, gold, U.S. technology sector

Market Observation

Currently, BTC is around $78,400, and ETH is around $2,465. In the next two days, three signals need to be monitored:

  • Whether U.S. treasury yields and the dollar index rise in sync.
  • Whether BTC can hold near $78,000 and whether the scale of contract liquidation expands quickly.
  • Whether ETH and altcoin trends relative to BTC continue to weaken.

If PPI and CPI are higher than expected, BTC needs to focus on support around $77,000. If inflation data is lower than expected, whether BTC can rise above $80,000 again, and whether funds can further flow into ETH and altcoins will determine the duration of sentiment recovery.

Before data release, the market trades on expectations; after data release, the market assesses the distance between expectations and reality.

This article is for market information organization only and does not constitute investment advice. Digital asset prices are highly volatile; please pay attention to position and risk management.

Bitget Today's Event

Three major events occurring within 60 hours, can BTC hold at $78,000? _aicoin_image_2

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This tournament covers three major tracks: crypto contracts, TradFi contracts, and stock spot rToken, and features team revenue lists, individual revenue lists, and sub-track trading lists. In light of the intensive macro conditions in the next two days, participating users can focus on crypto assets, U.S. stocks, gold, and commodities based on their own strategies.

The event rules, participation qualifications, and rewards are subject to the official Bitget page, and some products may be restricted by region.

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