1. Fundamental Review: Increasing Policy Discrepancies
After the non-farm data was released, clear divergences in the U.S. monetary policy stance began to emerge:
Bond Market Pressure: U.S. mid to long-term bond yields remain high, gradually pushing up future debt costs;
Policy Orientation: Trump still tends towards interest rate cuts, and the market still needs further guidance from news;
Industry Dynamics: SK Hynix is rapidly expanding its sixth generation 10nm DRAM production capacity, the KOSPI index in South Korea rose by 1.00% during the day, and Hynix opened higher.
The intertwining of policy and industry dynamics suggests that short-term directional choices are likely still dependent on news-driven catalysts.
2. Technical Analysis and Operating Plan
ETH | Wait and See for Breakout
The 4-hour level is in a 2535–2354 range oscillation; the hourly line is consolidating at a high level between 2535–2468, with a structural need for an upward breakout.
In terms of operations: Focus on breakout signals, mainly wait and see. Pay particular attention to a breakout above 2535; if it effectively stabilizes, follow the trend; if it breaks down, reassess the structure.
SanDisk | Trend Unchanged, Wait for Entry
The bullish trend remains intact, with the 4-hour key support at 1739, and the current price is tested repeatedly near previous highs around 1823; short-term oscillations are moving higher, lacking proactive entry signals before any adjustments occur.
Today's focus is on two opportunities:
Follow-up long positions after breaking 1823;
Entry signals upon a pullback to support at 1739.
Hynix | Breaking Resistance Opens Upward Space
The price has broken above the resistance level of 1380, and if it further stabilizes above 1404, subsequent upward space will be opened up.
Reference for entry rhythm:
Wait for the pullback long position opportunity after stabilizing 1404;
Or entry opportunities after a significant pullback to 1390.
Targets above are sequentially 1453 / 1500 / 1567.
3. Today's Summary
ETH: High-level consolidation, watch more and act less before breakout;
SanDisk: Bullish trend, consider entry after breaking 1823 or pulling back to 1739;
Hynix: Stabilization above 1404 is key confirmation, targets look to1453–1567.
In this stage of market differentiation, patiently wait for signals; it’s better to miss out than to make a mistake.
For more details and specific operations, see you in the live stream tonight, where we will analyze the market and view candlestick logic in real time.
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TS: Three apps are available for download in the app store, scan the code to add.)
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