1. Market Overview
Yesterday, the three major assets ETH, SanDisk, and SK Hynix maintained a range-bound trend, with volatility converging and neither the bulls nor bears achieving an effective breakthrough, leaving the market overall in a stage of accumulation before direction selection.
2. Fundamental Analysis
The current market lacks guiding news support, and trading sentiment tends to be cautious. The main influencing factors are as follows:
U.S. Stock Market Position Shift: Wall Street investment banks have abandoned their bullish stance on U.S. stocks. Although economic data and corporate profits are expected to continue providing support to the market, the overall outlook has been downgraded to a "tactically cautious" rating.
Policy Uncertainty: Related comments from Waller have infused suspense into the Federal Reserve's policy decision on September 16, making it the largest short-term variable in the current market.
Pattern Judgment: Overall, the fundamentals are biased towards strength, but sentiment is constrained by a wait-and-see attitude before policy implementation, making it difficult to form a trending unilateral market in the short term.
Comprehensive Judgment: Before the interest rate decision is realized, the market is likely to maintain a range-bound pattern.
3. Technical Analysis and Trading Strategies
3.1 ETH (Ethereum)
Long-term Trend: The bullish pattern remains unchanged, with a healthy trend structure.
4-hour Level: The high-level horizontal range has narrowed to 2534—2386.
Trading Thought:
The main strategy is to maintain long positions at the lower end of the range and follow the trend after breaking above the range;
In terms of short-term, there is significant resistance around 2483 above, but the current volatility is limited, so it is advised to maintain a wait-and-see approach, waiting for a clearer entry signal, and not to rush in.
3.2 SanDisk
4-hour Level: Maintaining a 1581—1445 range adjustment, the trend remains slightly downward.
Trading Thought:
Today's focus is on the main resistance level near 1581, observing whether a high-level shorting signal appears after a rebound;
Short Position Strategy: Stop loss set at 1594, target levels 1505, 1445;
Turning Signal: If it effectively breaks above 1581, the market turns bullish, and the strategy direction needs to be adjusted in a timely manner.
3.3 SK Hynix
4-hour Level: The trend is oscillating upwards.
Hourly Chart: The adjustment range has been broken in the short term, and low long opportunities should be awaited after a downward adjustment.
Trading Thought:
Pay attention to the support level near 1195 below;
Maintain a wait-and-see approach in the short term, waiting for a low long layout opportunity after confirming a pullback.
For more details and specific operations, see you in the live broadcast tonight, where we will analyze the market and discuss logic based on real-time K-line.
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