Brent short positions have reached a historic high not seen in nearly a decade

Hedge funds and other institutional investors are betting on falling oil prices. The latest data shows that Brent crude oil short positions have approached 18 to 19 billion dollars, significantly exceeding most peak levels of the past few years.

This figure has more than tripled in the past three months. It indicates that funds began to position themselves for shorting Brent oil prices since the start of the war, reflecting a consistent consensus in the market regarding the decline in crude oil.

The main reason is the phased end of the conflict between the United States and Iran, with market predictions indicating that the Strait of Hormuz will remain open.

However, it appears that the shorting has become quite crowded at this point. Considering the pre-war level of around 70 dollars, I personally feel that starting to short now might be a bit late.

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