Core viewpoint: The current digital currency market shows a unidirectional decline, with Bitcoin and Ethereum both approaching key support zones below. If these key positions are lost, the market may open a new round of deep correction.

1. Bitcoin (BTC) market analysis: Support lost, pay attention to the 58,000 level

1. Current situation: The market exhibits characteristics of "unidirectional decline," with previous support levels continuously broken and a lack of effective rebounds.

2. Key points below:

• Recent support: $58,900 - $58,850. This is an important observation range at the four-hour level.

• Core support: Around $58,000. This position is a key support level confirmed by both the four-hour and daily charts, holding significant technical meaning.

3. Trend derivation:

• If the price effectively breaks below the $58,900 - $58,850 range, it will likely test the strong support at $58,000.

• Key logic: $58,000 is the low point of the previous historical decline channel (starting from $126,000) and also the starting point of the rebound in February-March. If this position is lost, it means that the rebound structure since February may officially end, and the market will return to seeking a bottom within a longer-term downward channel.

2. Ethereum (ETH) market analysis: The 1,830 defense line is precarious

1. Current situation: After stabilizing above $2,100 for several days, the price has dropped to a critical region.

2. Life-and-death defense line: The range of $1,850 - $1,820. This range is currently the last barrier for the bulls.

3. Risk derivation (if breaking the 1,830 level):

• First target: $1,700 ("starting with 17").

• Second target: $1,384 (entering the "starting with 14" range).

• This means that if key support is lost, the downward space will be further opened up.

3. Operating strategy thoughts (original viewpoint refinement)

The core strategy of the analyst team is: align with the unidirectional trend, capturing opportunities for higher short positions during rebounds.

1. Main direction: Focus on "high shorts" (short at highs) after rebounds.

2. Short-term operation example for Ethereum:

• Watching for rebounds: If the four-hour chart can form stabilization signals such as "green doji star," attention can be given to the possibility of a rebound up to the $4,580 - $4,600 range.

• Chasing the decline: If the price breaks below $4,460, then the target below looks towards around $4,420.

Summary and reminders

The current market sentiment is bearish, with $58,000 (BTC) and $1,830 (ETH) being two critical technical thresholds. Investors should closely monitor the gains and losses at these positions, as the outcome will determine the direction of the mid-term market structure. When the trend clearly indicates a downward movement, the strategy should primarily be to follow the trend, set strict stop losses, and be vigilant about potential sharp fluctuations at key points in the market.

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